Hernán Cortés vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
4 - 1
HER
85%
12%
4%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
PUE
18%
24%
58%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 4
EXT
9%
20%
71%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AZU
3 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 2
COR
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 2
MAD
11%
21%
68%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DBN
1 - 0
PLA
62%
22%
16%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
PUE
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
4 - 1
PLA
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |