Hernán Cortés vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
HER
73%
19%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
DPC
17%
25%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
COR
9%
19%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 2
ASJ
33%
27%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 4
MAD
20%
22%
59%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXT
6 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
AZU
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |