Hermann Aichinger vs XV de Outubro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 2
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
TUB
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Outubro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
XVO
0 - 0
CAM
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TUB
3 - 1
XVO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
XVO
1 - 2
GUA
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 3
XVO
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
XVO
0 - 2
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |