Hermann Aichinger vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
5 - 1
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 5
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |