Herlev vs Næstved II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
8º
25
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
HER
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
KFU
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 4
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
FRE
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HER
3 - 4
SBO
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NAS
3 - 1
VB1
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SKJ
1 - 1
NAS
23%
20%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAS
3 - 2
LED
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SBO
4 - 0
NAS
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 1
NAS
48%
21%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |