Herlev vs Kastrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
HER
3 - 3
TAA
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 0
HER
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
HER
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
HIL
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
KAL
0 - 8
HER
12%
17%
72%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
KAS
1 - 2
VAN
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 2
KAS
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
3 - 1
KAS
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KAS
6 - 0
KAL
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STE
0 - 3
KAS
38%
22%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |