Herlev vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
2 - 3
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HER
4 - 2
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
ABT
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
B19
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BGA
1 - 0
JAG
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
BGA
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
BGA
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
BGA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BGA
0 - 1
FA2
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |