Herlev vs Avarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
SVE
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LFA
2 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NBB
0 - 1
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 6
BFR
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
HIK
3 - 3
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 2
AVA
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 1
B19
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 3
SKJ
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
3 - 1
AVA
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 0
AVA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |