Heriot-Watt vs Ormiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.2%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.7%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.5%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.2%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
IHS
94%
5%
2%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 0
HER
34%
21%
46%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
HER
6 - 0
EYE
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HER
5 - 2
TYN
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
KHE
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BRX
8 - 0
ORM
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
TWR
3 - 1
ORM
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TYN
5 - 0
ORM
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PRE
3 - 1
ORM
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ORM
1 - 1
TWR
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |