Heriot-Watt vs Ormiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TYN
6 - 2
HER
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
HER
22%
20%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 0
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
TYN
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ORM
1 - 7
LOT
20%
18%
62%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 3
ORM
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ORM
2 - 1
STI
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ORM
1 - 2
CIV
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
STI
5 - 2
ORM
49%
21%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |