Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
CIV
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
EDI
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 0
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
LOT
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
LOT
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
STI
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 0
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 3
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |