Heriot-Watt vs Easthouses Lily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PEE
0 - 3
HER
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
COL
60%
20%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EDI
2 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 5
SPA
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
WHI
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Easthouses Lily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
7 - 2
PRE
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 2
SPA
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 5
EAS
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 2
LOT
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |