Heriot-Watt vs Craigroyston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
HAW
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
HER
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LOT
2 - 2
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
STI
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
COL
29%
21%
51%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
HER
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 1
CRA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PEE
4 - 2
CRA
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 5
PEE
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -3 |