Heriot-Watt vs Craigroyston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
PRE
6 - 0
HER
42%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 3
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
SPA
18%
20%
63%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WHI
3 - 0
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
VAL
43%
23%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
AFC
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BLA
5 - 0
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +4 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
1 - 6
EAS
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
EDI
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
0 - 5
WHI
15%
21%
65%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |