Hergiswil vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
LUZ
2 - 1
HER
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
ESC
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
HER
33%
20%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCP
5 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
BRU
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 1
WIL
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
FCP
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
HER
33%
20%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 1
WIL
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |