Hergiswil vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GUN
1 - 5
HER
29%
22%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 3
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
6 - 1
GCB
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUO
2 - 2
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 6
BUO
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TAV
3 - 1
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
ASC
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
WIL
4 - 6
RUS
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GCB
0 - 3
WIL
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |