Hergiswil vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 4
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LOC
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
6 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 2
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
3 - 5
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
HOC
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |