Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
TUG
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZOF
1 - 2
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
KUS
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
IBA
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOC
0 - 4
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |