Hergiswil vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
TAV
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
HER
21%
18%
61%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 2
NOV
75%
15%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TAV
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
4 - 0
PER
76%
14%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCS
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |