Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 4
TEA
40%
23%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
KUS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
4 - 2
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 4
IBA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |