Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUN
1 - 3
HER
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
BUO
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
HER
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
ZUG
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GOL
5 - 0
HER
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 3
SAR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 1
IBA
30%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -3 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ZUG
0 - 1
IBA
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 0
GOL
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCS
5 - 2
IBA
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |