Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
ESC
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSS
0 - 1
IBA
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 2
EMM
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
IBA
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
VED
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |