Hergiswil vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 2
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 3
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
4 - 3
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 1
EMM
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
0 - 1
ASC
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 1
EMM
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 1
EMM
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |