Herfølge BK vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herfølge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HVI
2 - 4
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SIF
3 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
HER
8 - 1
KBK
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
AKA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ROS
3 - 1
FRE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 2
LYN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
HVI
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |