Hereford United vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SCA
3 - 3
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 2
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
STE
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
EXE
0 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
EXE
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
STE
1 - 0
BUR
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
MOR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
TAM
1 - 1
BUR
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
TAM
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |