Hereford Pegasus vs Royal Wootton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HPF
2 - 0
LON
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HPF
2 - 1
MAN
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RGG
1 - 0
HPF
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
3 - 0
HPF
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 1
HPF
23%
20%
56%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Wootton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LYD
1 - 2
WOO
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
0 - 4
LON
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
3 - 0
HPF
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
3 - 1
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
2 - 1
TUF
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |