Heredia vs Suchitepequez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COM
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HER
5 - 1
CON
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Suchitepequez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
DEP
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
VEN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RET
1 - 3
VEN
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 2
VEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |