Heredia vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 2
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HER
5 - 1
SLC
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
IZT
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
NUE
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
PUE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |