Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
HER
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
SAC
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 0
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
CON
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
SPD
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |