Heredia vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NUE
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SLC
4 - 2
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
PUE
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
HUE
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
IZT
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 3
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 2
SLC
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |