SK Herd vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Herd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
6 - 1
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
NYB
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
ROD
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
ELV
1 - 0
HER
77%
14%
8%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
ROS
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAR
0 - 0
BRU
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GJO
3 - 1
NAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
NAR
3 - 0
LEV
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 2
NAR
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
NAR
3 - 1
NYB
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |