Hercílio Luz vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 4
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 3
HER
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MAF
4 - 2
CAM
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |