Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
NEC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
WIL
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |