Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 4
SCH
33%
23%
45%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 4
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HER
5 - 0
HEL
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 0
HAU
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
HAU
0 - 1
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |