Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
68.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
KSC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
VVV
3 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
3 - 1
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PSV
1 - 1
FLU
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
PSV
35%
25%
39%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 1
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 1
VVV
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PSV
3 - 0
ADO
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |