Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 3
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 6
PSV
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 4
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
64%
19%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |