Heracles vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 5
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HER
4 - 2
ADO
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
VVV
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRO
29%
24%
48%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
FEY
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |