Heracles vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
TWE
4 - 0
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 0
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |