Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FEY
0 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VVV
3 - 2
HER
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
UTR
23%
23%
55%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 2
WIL
27%
24%
50%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 0
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
FEY
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
ZWO
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |