Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
ZWO
47%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HAN
4 - 1
HER
49%
23%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |