Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 3
ADO
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 2
UTR
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |