Hendon vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
3 - 0
HEN
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 3
DOR
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 6
HAY
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 4
HEN
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
HEN
12%
15%
73%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 4
POO
19%
21%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
HAR
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
YAT
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 4
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |