Henares DIV vs UD Jarama 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henares DIV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MEJ
2 - 0
HEN
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HEN
3 - 1
JTO
67%
17%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
0 - 6
ALA
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DAG
1 - 0
HEN
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 2
DEC
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Jarama 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UDJ
2 - 0
MEC
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NAY
0 - 3
UDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TDA
1 - 0
UDJ
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UDJ
4 - 0
ATA
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAZ
0 - 4
UDJ
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |