Helston Athletic vs Barnstaple Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helston Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HEA
5 - 2
ILF
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 5
HEA
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
HEA
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEA
10 - 0
MLB
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BID
4 - 0
HEA
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Barnstaple Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
SHE
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
0 - 2
BAR
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POO
3 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 4
BRI
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TAV
3 - 5
BAR
26%
20%
54%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |