Hellas Verona vs Castel di Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
VER
1 - 1
REG
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
REG
0 - 1
VER
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
VER
0 - 1
PRG
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
TRE
1 - 0
VER
27%
26%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Castel di Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
CSA
3 - 3
GEN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
USF
2 - 0
CSA
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CSA
1 - 3
VNZ
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
TOR
4 - 1
CSA
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
CSA
1 - 1
PES
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |