Heist vs Sint-Niklaas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOM
1 - 1
HEI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 1
DES
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EEA
2 - 1
HEI
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 3
WSW
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
OUD
4 - 2
HEI
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sint-Niklaas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
STN
1 - 1
KSV
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LOM
4 - 1
STN
65%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
STN
1 - 2
ANT
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
STN
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
STN
1 - 4
EUP
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |