Heist vs Oudenaarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BEE
4 - 2
HEI
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
5 - 0
SPR
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
HEI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
3 - 0
COX
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DEN
4 - 5
HEI
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OUD
1 - 3
GEE
45%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OUD
4 - 0
COX
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
OUD
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
OUD
1 - 4
VWH
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WSW
0 - 5
OUD
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |