Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 1
HEI
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
5 - 2
HEI
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 0
VFR
29%
25%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
OLD
3 - 1
HEI
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 3
FLE
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 0
FLE
11%
17%
73%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 0
KIL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIL
3 - 0
PRE
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
TOD
3 - 0
KIL
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |