Heidenheim vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2020 |
STP
0 - 0
HEI
31%
26%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2020 |
HEI
1 - 0
WEH
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2020 |
RTV
3 - 0
HEI
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HEI
3 - 1
KSC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 0
HEI
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 3
DAR
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
ERZ
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SVS
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SGD
2 - 1
ERZ
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 0
HSV
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |