Non League Div One Northern East. Jor. 29

Hebburn Town vs Newton Aycliffe analysis

Hebburn Town Newton Aycliffe
34 ELO 36
-5.8% Tilt -9.7%
6995º General ELO ranking 7167º
332º Country ELO ranking 345º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Hebburn Town
23.3%
Draw
37.1%
Newton Aycliffe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Hebburn Town
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.1%
Win probability
Newton Aycliffe
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hebburn Town
+38%
-1%
Newton Aycliffe

Points and table prediction

Hebburn Town
Their league position
Newton Aycliffe
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
60
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hebburn Town
81
84
100%
Stockton Town
80
80
100%
Dunston UTS
72
72
100%
Pontefract Collieries
70
70
100%
Carlton Town
65
65
100%
Newton Aycliffe
60
60
100%
Belper Town FC
57
57
38%
North Ferriby United
57
57
38%
Cleethorpes Town
56
56
58%
Liversedge
10º
51
55
10º
58%
Grimsby Borough
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Consett AFC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Sheffield FC
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ashington AFC
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Stocksbridge Park Steels
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Bridlington Town
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Brighouse Town
17º
36
36
17º
16%
Ossett United
18º
35
35
18º
57%
Winterton Rangers FC
19º
35
35
19º
67%
Grantham Town
20º
34
34
20º
67%
Expected probabilities
Hebburn Town
Newton Aycliffe
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hebburn Town
Newton Aycliffe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hebburn Town
Hebburn Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
HEB
Hebburn Town
3 - 1
Consett AFC
CON
40%
24%
37%
33 35 2 0
27 Jan. 2024
NOR
North Ferriby United
1 - 0
Hebburn Town
HEB
42%
23%
35%
34 30 4 -1
20 Jan. 2024
HEB
Hebburn Town
0 - 0
Cleethorpes Town
CLE
56%
22%
23%
34 31 3 0
13 Jan. 2024
HEB
Hebburn Town
3 - 3
Pontefract Collieries
PON
51%
22%
27%
35 32 3 -1
06 Jan. 2024
WIN
Winterton Rangers FC
2 - 2
Hebburn Town
HEB
23%
22%
55%
36 23 13 -1

Matches

Newton Aycliffe
Newton Aycliffe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
2 - 1
Brighouse Town
BRI
70%
17%
13%
35 26 9 0
10 Feb. 2024
WIN
Winterton Rangers FC
1 - 2
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
21%
21%
58%
35 23 12 0
03 Feb. 2024
OUF
Ossett United
0 - 4
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
13%
18%
68%
35 20 15 0
27 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
1 - 2
Belper Town FC
BEL
63%
19%
18%
36 30 6 -1
13 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
2 - 0
Liversedge
LIV
56%
21%
23%
35 33 2 +1
X